Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.595189 0.659783 0.729608 0.810882 0.903116 1.004804 1.125764
2025-08-31 0.487493 0.575228 0.677381 0.805899 0.964371 1.154807 1.403121
2025-09-07 0.429558 0.528245 0.648999 0.809196 1.018490 1.285923 1.658832
2025-09-14 0.381717 0.484659 0.615590 0.796733 1.044653 1.377737 1.868884
2025-09-21 0.345989 0.451277 0.589652 0.788111 1.070917 1.468032 2.083644
2025-09-28 0.309429 0.412578 0.551847 0.757653 1.061049 1.503389 2.219374
2025-10-05 0.293846 0.400630 0.548812 0.774619 1.119415 1.642320 2.528485
2025-10-12 0.279221 0.388429 0.543792 0.787292 1.171398 1.775790 2.845637
2025-10-19 0.264471 0.374631 0.534909 0.792629 1.211505 1.893565 3.151394
2025-10-26 0.251142 0.361753 0.526077 0.796706 1.249143 2.010264 3.470456
2025-11-02 0.240175 0.351510 0.520235 0.804592 1.293162 2.141735 3.834716
2025-11-09 0.224291 0.332557 0.499329 0.785786 1.289270 2.187441 4.039785
2025-11-16 0.215542 0.324397 0.495262 0.795294 1.336829 2.333829 4.472918
2025-11-23 0.204507 0.311886 0.483273 0.790208 1.357603 2.432545 4.824138
2025-11-30 0.196083 0.302995 0.476502 0.793436 1.393631 2.564358 5.268327
2025-12-07 0.185568 0.289985 0.461879 0.781260 1.398890 2.634738 5.585046
2025-12-14 0.176575 0.278968 0.449895 0.772836 1.410404 2.718930 5.948278
2025-12-21 0.164728 0.262464 0.427388 0.743075 1.376499 2.702783 6.063616
2025-12-28 0.161211 0.260007 0.429342 0.759653 1.438268 2.901537 6.757760
2026-01-04 0.157244 0.256518 0.429179 0.772036 1.492416 3.090081 7.463551
2026-01-11 0.152468 0.251320 0.425558 0.777251 1.531663 3.249183 8.121819
2026-01-18 0.147817 0.246080 0.421512 0.781235 1.568512 3.407232 8.810889
2026-01-25 0.143942 0.242023 0.419399 0.788939 1.614366 3.593280 9.625045